Your Projects Are Delivering.

But Are They Delivering Outcomes?

Most projects finish on time and on budget – and still fail to deliver the business value they promised. This is not a people problem. It is a governance gap that was never in your playbook.

1,406

Organizations Assessed
Evidence from global capital projects across every major industry and region

33.31 / 100

Industry Average OAI Score
Average Outcome Assurance Index across all 1,406 organizations globally

96%+

Score in Minimal or Weak Maturity
No region, industry, or stakeholder group exceeds approximately 45 / 100

The Outcome Gap Is Not Your Fault – It Is a Structural Problem

For decades, project managers have been trained to deliver scope, meet schedules, and control costs. Those skills are real and valuable. But the model most project-driven organizations use ends at handover. What happens after delivery – whether systems actually integrate, whether teams are operationally ready, whether the intended business value is realized – was rarely part of the training.

This is not a failure of execution. The ICxA Outcome Assurance Gap research found that across 1,406 organizations globally, Outcome Assurance capability is consistently underdeveloped. The average organization scores just 33.31 out of 100 on the Outcome Assurance Index. No region performs materially better. No industry leads the way. The P10-to-P90 range spans just 20 points on a 100-point scale – meaning 80 percent of the industry operates within a narrow structural ceiling.

As the research states: “The industry is not underperforming. It is operating within the limits of its current structure.” The problem is not the people. It is the model they were given.

“Delivery is controlled. The outcome remains assumed.”
– ICxA Outcome Assurance Gap Report, 1,406 Organizations

The Outcome Assurance Gap: What Gets Lost Between Delivery and Results

Projects are structured around activities – engineering, construction, commissioning, handover. Each phase is well-managed. The connection between those activities and the final operational outcome is rarely governed with the same clarity. Delivery is controlled. The outcome remains assumed.

Project Delivery (Output)

  • On schedule
  • Within budget
  • Scope delivered
  • Technical handover complete
  • Each discipline performed its work

THE GAP

Systems installed but not integrated. Teams not ready for day-one operations. Business case value not tracked. Accountability ends at handover.

“Influenced by all. Owned by none.”

Outcome Realization

  • Assets perform as intended
  • Systems fully integrated
  • Organization operationally ready
  • Business value realized
  • Accountability continues across handover

The Data Is Clear – The Industry Has an Outcome Problem

ICxA assessed 1,406 organizations across global capital projects spanning all major industries, regions, and stakeholder types. The findings are striking and consistent: no region, no industry, and no stakeholder group escapes this pattern.

The average Outcome Assurance Index (OAI) score is 33.31 out of 100 (median: 32.45). More than 96 percent of organizations fall within the Minimal (0-20) or Weak/Fragmented (21-40) maturity bands. The effective operating range for the entire global industry spans less than 20 points on a 100-point scale.

OAI Pillar Scores – Industry Averages

  • Outcome Governance: 25 / 100 – Governance directed at schedule, cost, and compliance. Rarely directed at whether the intended outcome will be achieved.
  • System Integration: 30 / 100 – Integration functions as coordination, not assurance. Systems are connected but not governed to perform as a whole.
  • Operational Readiness: 39 / 100 – The strongest pillar. But preparation is not the same as demonstrated readiness under real operating conditions.
  • Performance Validation: 40 / 100 – Validation functions as confirmation rather than a control point tied to progression decisions.
  • Outcome Delivery: 24 / 100 – The lowest score. This is where all preceding activity is expected to converge. Explicit ownership of the final result is rarely present.

“Each part is improving. The outcome is not.”
– ICxA Outcome Assurance Gap Report

Project Managers and PMO Leaders: You Were Never Given the Full Playbook

The findings from 1,406 organizations do not suggest the industry must replace what it has built. They suggest there is a need to extend it. The next phase of project maturity will not be defined by how efficiently organizations deliver activities. It will be defined by how confidently they assure outcomes.

ICxA – the Institute of Commissioning and Assurance, and POI’s sister organization – provides the frameworks, standards, and professional community to close the Outcome Assurance Gap. Start with a free Outcome Leadership membership.

Outcome Assurance Index score gauge showing weak project outcome maturity
Distribution of project outcome assurance maturity across assessed organizations